Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.0#312
Expected Predictive Rating-12.6#320
Pace63.4#268
Improvement-4.7#321

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#294
Improvement-4.1#329

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#313
Improvement-0.7#197
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 52   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-63 3%     0 - 1 +5.7 -3.8 +8.9
  Nov 14, 2011 239   Lafayette L 81-84 38%     0 - 2 -10.9 +6.8 -18.0
  Nov 19, 2011 106   @ Bucknell L 42-73 5%     0 - 3 -23.2 -26.1 +1.8
  Nov 23, 2011 321   @ Colgate L 66-74 42%     0 - 4 -16.9 -10.7 -6.5
  Nov 26, 2011 169   Youngstown St. L 59-60 24%     0 - 5 -4.6 -3.9 -0.9
  Nov 28, 2011 244   Niagara L 63-65 39%     0 - 6 -10.2 -7.9 -2.5
  Dec 01, 2011 291   Monmouth W 71-49 50%     1 - 6 1 - 0 +10.9 -0.5 +13.4
  Dec 03, 2011 337   Fairleigh Dickinson W 73-69 77%     2 - 6 2 - 0 -14.9 -2.2 -12.5
  Dec 07, 2011 81   @ Lehigh L 50-71 4%     2 - 7 -11.5 -12.8 -1.4
  Dec 10, 2011 174   American W 66-61 25%     3 - 7 +1.1 -0.1 +1.8
  Dec 20, 2011 68   @ Pittsburgh L 47-71 3%     3 - 8 -13.5 -14.8 -3.2
  Dec 23, 2011 57   @ St. Bonaventure L 58-82 3%     3 - 9 -12.5 -7.5 -6.2
  Dec 31, 2011 63   @ Drexel L 42-63 3%     3 - 10 -10.1 -15.7 +1.2
  Jan 05, 2012 229   @ Central Connecticut St. L 58-69 16%     3 - 11 2 - 1 -11.3 -11.8 +0.1
  Jan 07, 2012 339   @ Bryant L 56-59 55%     3 - 12 2 - 2 -15.4 -22.3 +6.7
  Jan 12, 2012 246   Sacred Heart L 68-71 39%     3 - 13 2 - 3 -11.3 -7.3 -4.1
  Jan 14, 2012 160   Quinnipiac W 74-71 22%     4 - 13 3 - 3 +0.1 +0.5 -0.4
  Jan 19, 2012 291   @ Monmouth L 50-68 26%     4 - 14 3 - 4 -22.3 -25.4 +3.4
  Jan 21, 2012 337   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 69-63 54%     5 - 14 4 - 4 -6.1 -3.1 -2.7
  Jan 26, 2012 227   St. Francis Brooklyn L 65-75 34%     5 - 15 4 - 5 -16.8 -11.2 -5.2
  Jan 28, 2012 162   LIU Brooklyn L 76-97 22%     5 - 16 4 - 6 -24.0 -11.6 -9.6
  Feb 02, 2012 298   @ Mount St. Mary's L 51-64 29%     5 - 17 4 - 7 -18.2 -15.4 -4.6
  Feb 04, 2012 109   @ Wagner L 54-72 5%     5 - 18 4 - 8 -10.5 -16.9 +7.4
  Feb 08, 2012 148   Robert Morris L 74-78 20%     5 - 19 4 - 9 -6.0 +3.9 -10.1
  Feb 11, 2012 148   @ Robert Morris L 56-70 8%     5 - 20 4 - 10 -9.2 -14.9 +5.6
  Feb 16, 2012 229   Central Connecticut St. L 60-65 35%     5 - 21 4 - 11 -12.1 -14.1 +1.9
  Feb 18, 2012 339   Bryant W 76-61 78%     6 - 21 5 - 11 -4.2 +4.8 -6.6
  Feb 23, 2012 160   @ Quinnipiac L 44-77 9%     6 - 22 5 - 12 -29.1 -21.2 -11.9
  Feb 25, 2012 246   @ Sacred Heart L 57-72 18%     6 - 23 5 - 13 -16.5 -10.3 -8.3
Projected Record 6.0 - 23.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%